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Visitors have a much different idea of what Hot Vegas is all about, than the idea of those who live in the Valley have of what Hot Vegas is all about.

Temperatures in Las Vegas and the valley, in Mid-August, have ranged from a record high of around 115 degrees to a record  low of around 55 degrees for more than the past 100 years.
 

The average daytime high from late June to late August has been above One Hundred Degrees for the same 100 year period.
 

We are about to enter Hot Vegas for 2011.

Hot Vegas - the period between the first day when the predicted daytime high for the next ten consecutive days is 100 degrees, or higher, and the first day that  the prediction for the next  ten consecutive days falls below 100 degrees.

 

The averages tell us that Hot Vegas should start in the week of 17 June, and end in the week of 22 August, or about 66 days. In 2010, Hot Vegas started in May, and ended in late September or around 90 days.

Do you feel lucky?

 

Current Predictions ^{Click on any of the images to enlarge}

 

The graph on the right shows how we are making out this year, it will be refreshed as Hot Vegas progresses between now and the end, so check back occasionally to see how we are progressing for 2011,

 

Misery loves company

 

Each year is different, we are certainly entitled to hope that Hot Vegas 2011 will be shorter than usual, and after 2010 many would say we deserve a break.

But of course people in hell want Ice Water.

 

 

Hot Vegas 2011 Progress (click image to enlarge)

Hot Vegas 2011 started on June 21st this year, as of July 24th, in the 34 days since then, 25 of them have been 100 degrees or higher, the lowest daytime high recorded in this period was 95 degrees.

The 100 year data predicts that the end of Hot Vegas will be around August 28th, or 35 days from today.

 

Past years tell us that the actual end of Hot Vegas will occur between -5 and +10 days from the 100 year average, so we have somewhere between 30 and 45 more days of misery in front of us as of today.

 

 

How to read the Hot Vegas Chart

The Hot Vegas chart is a little dense, once you are used to it, it is pretty easy to read. For the first time around use the explanation of the individual temperature curves below;

• 2011 High, Median, and Low Curves
  These are the high and low temperatures measured on the day indicated.
  
  The Median temperature is the difference between the High and the Low.

• Ten Day Prediction High, Average, Low
  We obtain the predictions for the next ten days from an on line source.
  
  There can be quite a difference for the predicted values for a future date from one day to the next.
  
   

  • The High Curve tracks the highest predicted temperature for a given day over the ten day period.

  • The Low Curve tracks the lowest predicted value for the given date.

  • The Average Curve is the average of all predictions for the given date.

  This is useful information; when you compare the range of predictions to the measured temperature, if the measured temperature has been tracking close to either side of the range, a good guess is that it will continue to do so for the immediate future.

• 100 year Curves

  • 100 Year Record High, Low
    Highest or lowest temperature recorded on a give day of the month for the past 100 years

  • 100 Year Average High, Low
    Average High or low temperature for a given day of the month for the past 100 years

  • 100 Year Median Temp
    The Median (difference) between the high and low temperatures on a given day for the past 100 years

 

Typical Day in Hot Vegas

This is more or less what a typical day looks like during Hot Vegas.

Notice that the temperature remains above 100 degrees from around 11 in the morning until 10 in the evening.

Also notice that the temperature never goes below around 87 degrees, since I keep my air conditioner set to around 80 degrees, it is going to run just about non stop for all of Hot Vegas.

A big electric bill is just one of the bonuses for living in the valley.

This is typical, but I can recall a few years back when the temperature never went below around 95 degrees at night, for six weeks in a stretch.

 

Next time someone tells me "Yeah, but it is dry heat . . ."  I may loose it and strangle them.

 

Record Breaking Days.

Between the years of 1895 and 2008 we had a total of 366 record breaking days, one for every day of the year, and leap year.

This was an average of around 4.2 records broken per year, with some years having no records at all broken.

The Early part of the last century, and the depression/war years were more turbulent than recent decades.

Since 1980 we have averaged around 2.2 records per year being broken.

 

In the midst of all of this unrelenting bad news, there is one bright spot for Valley Locals . . .

No matter how hot it gets during Hot Vegas, it is always gonna be hotter in Phoenix